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So I reached out to one of these friends, and asked him to help me calculate a range of probabilities for what the true rarity of enchanted cards is likely to be, and heres what he came up with

If you see a late Carnage Gladiator or Ascended Lawmage, however, those are good signs that Rakdos and Azorius might be open, and those are actually guilds that will be passed to you from that direction in pack 3

Card draw is another common payoff for sacrificing cards thanks to creatures like Midnight Reaper and Morbid Opportunist

If, for one of the targets, you can't choose a new legal target, then it remains unchanged (even if the current target is illegal)